It responded with an unprecedented wave of . Tensions between Australia and its biggest trading partner, China, drastically deteriorated last year when Prime Minister Scott Morrison called for an independent inquiry into the origins of. Although detailed information about national stockpiles of munitions, critical spares, and fuel is not wholly open-source it is logical to expect that the ADF holds sufficient resources to engage in high tempo large scale operations for a certain period of time. He said despite widespread panic at the time, and post-war mythologising, even in World War II we were in no serious danger of occupation. The relative ease of attacking mainland Australia comes from the geographical distribution of our major industrial and population centres, which are located within Australias littoral. As always you can unsubscribe at any time. You can donate through PayPal or credit card via the button below, or donate via bank transfer: Your email address will not be published. "Our judgement at least is that (China's . As the middle-classes of China begin to demand their perceived and/or actual rights, the PRC government will have to succumb to their demands, if only for enhanced domestic stability. We are at no immediate risk of invasion nobody in the region has anything like the force projection capability required to put tens of thousands of set of boots anywhere of strategic value on our land mass, let alone sustain the supply chain long enough to sustain even a brief campaign. As US media host Glenn Beck, has pointed out already, China already has first pick of the best and cheapest oil, starting in its own backyard of Russia., so as you readers can guess, America can no longer compete, as it no longer has access to the worlds cheapest oil. Have a friend who was Ambassador to China and it would not take much to regain their respect. Maybe try deceptive lying capitalist pigs. The four major challenges Australia faces in 2022 There are major challenges the world will have to face this year over and above COVID-19, the first being the management of the rise of China. I find this piece troubling. Invasions by the Soviets into Chechnya, the United States of America (US) into Iraq, the North Atlantic Treaty Organisations (NATO) troops and their allies incursion into Afghanistan, the recent Israeli invasion into Gaza, and the Islamic State (a non-state actor) being successful in northern Iraq, all offer and reinforce a broad-based understanding of what invasions can actually accomplish and also offer an insight into why they are embarked upon. document.getElementById( "ak_js_1" ).setAttribute( "value", ( new Date() ).getTime() ); Beyond incompetence and corruption Untroubled by the burdens of either wit or intelligence the embaldened tubermensch who, for now, leads the, Alan Tudge is leaving Parliament. One upshot of her comment/s is that the military rise of China is now out in the public sphere and the massive impact this will have on Australia is finally beyond the hallways of the Department of Defence in Canberra. Just buy the bastards and their debt out. The evidence-base for this outcome is also in the history of the West. A war . Australia ignores this threat at its own peril. The question of fuel deposits, which has to be replenished regularly, remains. Firstly, China has insufficient capacity to wage long distance assault operations. AN AIRSTRIP in the arid Australian desert could be used for a full-scale invasion from China. Secondly, China deploys a long-range strike capability (conventional and unconventional), which allows it to target Australia. Strategic defence expert Ron Huisken labelled it sensational nonsense and rather tacky scaremongering. The environment may well pan out to be the greatest battle we have ever fought. To be sure the French before Britain used this method, and since post-1945 the US has followed a similar trajectory with its domination of world markets through the Marshall Plan, the Bretton-Woods agreement which allowed America to essentially dominate the worlds free market, are examples of heavy-handed polity. Dr. Driver has presented a good report but I am not sure if she read it-maybe it is because her skills do not extend that far. With all the talk of hurting Russia economically a Western European expert said theres the very real chance Russia will turn to China, and China wont hesitate to step into the breech. Agree with all comments . great commentary, thankyou for your input one and all. The shock of this state-of-affairs resides in Western nation-states and Western European-centric nations Australia and America, and to some extent Japan are included is included in this mix have been privy to, over the past several centuries is watching the slow but sure rise of Western Europe as a force. As Europe became a force it has incrementally been able to dictate its version of what government and governance should comprise of to the rest of the world. Australia has no political leader capable of seeing the futility of following the US line in Asia. The last time the PLA was in active combat was in 1979, when China fought a brief border war with Vietnam. We pay our respect to Elders past and present and extend that respect to all Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander peoples. Once again the making of such a statement can be given credence by observing that America is fiscally bankrupt to China, and owes the PRC trillions of dollars and the US would simply not risk China calling in its debt/s as this would devastate the US domestic economy. The way in which this has happened includes both military and political realms: the forcing of democracy on Japan at the end of World War Two (WWII) by the US and Allied powers; winning the Korean War by United Nations forces; and the collapse of the Soviet Union in 1989. Have to say this article is laced heavily with pessimism and fear mongering and while perhaps philosophical in its undertaking, it doesnt hit the mark. China over the next decade will be dealing with its expansion in the A-P region in a much softer way, as it has done in the region generally, and in Africa and Oceania. In the first instance an Asian nation has never presented such a symbolic threat to Western hegemony; and secondly, never has an Asian nation had the actual potential to follow through in a sustained/long tern way with military force. There is however, more to all of these events in terms of them being simply categorized as overt acts of violence that have a focused outcome namely territorial acquisition through force and it is within this spectrum that Senator Lambie alludes to, that can be given a perspective. Simply unbelievable that our parliament is now dominated by self serving [insert adjective]. In accomplishing such occupations and political tenets, the West has been able to decree the way in which the world aside from the Russian Federation and China must operate. How are we going to survive if we deliberately ignore threats for fear of offending someone? We use your sign-up to provide content in the ways you've consented to and improve our understanding of you. Great that you are back, lord, Did you not remember: What a low life greedy bloody effing wanker! It is pertinent to ask what will drive such an outcome. Such a distribution of both human and physical core infrastructure offers a technologically advanced and militarily superior adversary a multitude of opportunities, ranging from political-military blackmail in times of heightened geopolitical crisis, to limited or large-scale offensive operations in times of war. Strategically, Washingtons reliability as a security guarantor is the core of the issue. Note that preparation is NOT the same as Shannon Brandao on LinkedIn: U.S., UK and Australia carry out China-focused air drills Tensions between China and Australia may escalate further, diplomatic observers have warned, after the Australian defence minister said conflict with Beijing over Taiwan should not be discounted . thank goodness Irvine is retiring before he starts some form of Hitler Youth thing to spy on their neighbours. Taiwanese . Australia also has rare earths and God knows what PNG has still yet? You can upload: image, audio, video, document, spreadsheet, interactive, text, archive, code, other. So, I agree with your conclusion.. Great program on the War To End All Wars circa 1914-18 on ABC tonight. In case of the PLA, the following needs to be factored in. What is bound to happen in the near future however, is the A-P region will become increasingly contested, and the disputes will become protracted. This article was first posted on Strobes blog Geo-Strategic Orbit and has been reproduced with permission. Back in the 1970s, the US cut a deal with Saudi Arabia at the time the worlds biggest oil producer calling for the US to prop up the kingdoms corrupt monarchy in return for a Saudi pledge that it would accept only dollars in return for oil. War and the arming for war is the defining rationale behind the (dominant) Western Economies. Nuh still something wrong. For Russia, China and India this looks like a win/win. China could invade Taiwan later this year, top Navy officer warns By Caitlin Doornbos October 21, 2022 12:14pm Updated 0 of 58 secondsVolume 0% 00:00 00:58 China could invade Taiwan as. The truth of the matter resides in the history of the US as per WWII being a European war until the bombing of Pearl Harbor forced the US to face the realities of the conflict, and the undeniable reality is that an Australia-China military collision would not necessarily be an urgent priority for the US. There ya go. Whoops that cant be right. Copyright The Australian Independent Media Network 2014-2022 ABN: 44313698183. Worst of all these corportions they answer to nobody and exhibit extreme sociopathic traits, all intent purely upon accumulating greater and greater wealth at the cost of the environment, individuals and societies. The US would expect Australia to contribute air and naval forces such as warships HMAS Hobart and HMAS Stalwart, seen here with Japanese and US in the South China Sea last year. There is no reason to think that if Australia continues on its current pathway of antagonism in the region especially toward Muslim countries that there would be enough impetus for China to believe a limited invasion would not be successful. Have seen the legal document but forget where to locate it. On April 25, the symbolic date of Anzac Day, when Australia honors its war dead, newly appointed Defense Minister Peter Dutton said a conflict with China over Taiwan shouldn't "be discounted,". Your contribution to help with the running costs of this site will be gratefully accepted. This has been done with unconditional fiscal contributions (loans). Also, America will be tormented with fiscal and political problems in the next two decades which will continue to render an already war-weary nation to be dubious about entering another war. The Xiaoping era would be the first quantum leap into a globalized world and would signal significant domestic and international changes this was defined by Xiaoping as socialism with a Chinese character.[9] China was essentially, thrust into a Western world and it would over time exploit the free market, gain international political astuteness, and in the late-1990s, begin to stamp its geo-strategic authority on the world: the A-P region is its first port-of-call. He questionedwhatthey would do after landing in Pilbara. 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